Writing

2026✦ Published○ Personal

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  Facing break point, servers barely change their aim

  November 2026

  Game theory says break point shouldn't change where a server aims. Across 73,000 break points, the aim barely moves from where servers had it at 30-30.

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  Even the best miss a blunder

  November 2026

  You'd expect a good player to jump on a blunder. On Lichess, players rated 2400 or more missed three in ten of them.

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  Demography is destiny: China will grow old before it gets rich

  Asia Times · 4 November 2026

  In March, China's 15th Five-Year Plan named two population problems, ageing and the decline in births. Both are already under way.

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  We're not in a cost-of-living crisis, yet

  Fortune · 31 October 2026

  Essential prices spiked in 10 of 99 countries this year, against 62 in 2022. The US fell just short of a crisis, but it is under financial pressure.

Fishing at Nyhavn, Copenhagen